trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +13.3% | +2.6% | 69% | 69% | -3.4% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 46% | 46% | -4.9% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 46% | 46% | -4.9% |
| all | 28 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 46% | 46% | -4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 46% | -4.9% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 43% | -14.0% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 43% | -22.3% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 39% | -29.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 68¢ | 54¢ | $70 | $55 | −$15 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $82 | +$13 | +16% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $68 | +$36 | +53% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $52 | +$31 | +60% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $15 | +$8 | +55% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $11 | +$8 | +67% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$21 | +68% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $13 | +$19 | +145% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $5 | +$3 | +62% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$9 | +216% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$4 | +93% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$7 | +226% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$15 | +246% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |