Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:35:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6289…6e75
crypto · 54 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$10 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses43 / 10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)53 / 54
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day66.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 83¢ 96¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 32% -8.8%
≤30d 53 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 32% -8.8%
≤90d 53 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 32% -8.8%
all 53 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 32% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 32% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 21% -17.5%
15% -24.0% 13% -25.5%
20% -31.5% 6% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.63 · official $8.01 · 119 history records