trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -50.0% | -54.8% | 50% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 20 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 10% | 5% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.8% | 5% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $1,743 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 11 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 11 | $14 | +$3 | +21% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 11 | $14 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Mar 02 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 02 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 28 | $1,238 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 28 | $1,747 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 28 | $1,226 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 25 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 10 | $500 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 20 | $488 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 19 | $488 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 15 | $489 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 14 | $450 | −$6 | -1% |
| Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 13 | $496 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Jan 12 | $496 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Jan 09 | $497 | −$1 | -0% |