Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:33:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6272…6780
crypto · 612 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$52 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized+$52
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses433 / 171
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions8
Markets (closed)604 / 612
History coverage20d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day132.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 8 History 604 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$32
14 days−$3
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+0%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 93¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Trump out as President before 2027? No 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 75¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5 Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-27? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Luca Nardi 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Monastir: Toufik Sahtali vs Aziz Dougaz Aziz Dougaz 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Zhang Mingyang 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Oliva: Neus Torner Sensano vs Raquel Caballero Chica Neus Torner Sensano 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: Draw at halftime? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings Las Vegas Aces 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva Yulia Starodubtseva 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Yes 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova Karolina Muchova 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +260%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +595%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +36%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +17%
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $11 +$12 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$68
sports 3% −$16
other 2% −$3
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 0m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 6m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 6m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 7m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 9m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 +1.0% -8.6% 70% 50% -5.1%
≤30d 604 -4.9% -14.0% 72% 46% -8.4%
≤90d 604 -4.9% -14.0% 72% 46% -8.4%
all 604 -4.9% -14.0% 72% 46% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 46% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 29% -17.2%
15% -29.7% 17% -25.2%
20% -36.6% 11% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.20 · official $39.26 (match) · 3500 history records