Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6258…ae37
crypto · 370 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$239 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$239 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$239
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses188 / 182
Open positions0
Markets (closed)370 / 370
History coverage62d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 370 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$572
7 days−$572
14 days−$553
30 days−$553
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$19 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$18 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$28 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$239
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 186 -30.7% -37.3% 39% 39% -36.7%
≤30d 192 -28.7% -35.5% 41% 41% -35.1%
≤90d 370 -7.5% -16.3% 51% 51% -15.3%
all 370 -7.5% -16.3% 51% 51% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 51% -15.3%
10% -24.3% 48% -23.4%
15% -31.6% 44% -30.8%
20% -38.3% 38% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 691 history records