Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6244…1ada
crypto · 425 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,556 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,556 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$2,556
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses199 / 518
Open positions0
Markets (closed)717 / 425
History coverage14d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day240.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 717 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,372
7 days−$2,818
14 days−$2,556
30 days−$2,556
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+300%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+136%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+114%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+139%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 23¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+342%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+176%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+166%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$33 +13033%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$24 +5787%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$9 +1542%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +782%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$15 +3198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$8 +1193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$38 +9149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$28 +15516%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +618%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$11 +7118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1665%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$968
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 525 -21.3% -28.8% 19% 19% -48.2%
≤30d 717 -9.5% -18.1% 28% 27% -37.3%
≤90d 717 -9.5% -18.1% 28% 27% -37.3%
all 717 -9.5% -18.1% 28% 27% -37.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover240.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 27% -37.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 27% -43.3%
15% -33.1% 26% -48.7%
20% -39.6% 22% -53.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.34 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records