Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:12:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x623c…7b37
other · 265 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$96 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 255
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)265 / 265
History coverage138d
Avg bet$200
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$19
14 days−$32
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $376 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $138 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $222 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $187 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $223 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 12 $55 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $239 −$2 -1%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $374 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $553 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $141 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $142 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $724 −$2 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 10 $234 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $363 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $765 −$2 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $473 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $304 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $207 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $272 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $675 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 08 $733 −$2 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $243 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $669 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $353 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $463 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $179 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 05 $125 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $420 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $397 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $401 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $481 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $438 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $435 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $470 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $305 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $188 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 02 $123 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $370 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $440 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $136 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $60 $0 -0%
GTA VI released before June 2026? May 31 $543 −$2 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $245 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? May 30 $407 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 29 $124 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $149 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $268 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 28 $316 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $319 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$41
sports 24% −$20
culture 9% −$11
economics 7% −$6
politics 7% −$8
crypto 6% −$4
world 3% −$4
finance 1% −$1
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $54 20m
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $54 1h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 3h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 5h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $54 6h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 7h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $54 9h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $54 11h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $54 12h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 13h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $54 15h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $55 16h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 21h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $55 22h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 28h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $55 30h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $55 42h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $55 44h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $55 2d
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $55 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $55 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $55 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $56 2d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $56 3d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $56 3d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 3d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $56 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 67 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 185 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 265 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1487 history records