trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 21 | -23.9% | -31.1% | 33% | 33% | -21.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.1% | 33% | -21.0% |
| 10% | -37.7% | 33% | -28.5% |
| 15% | -43.7% | 29% | -35.4% |
| 20% | -49.2% | 14% | -41.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $649 | $647 | −$2 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 14 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 11 | $70 | +$33 | +47% |
| Kings vs. Blue Jackets | Feb 08 | $30 | −$10 | -35% |
| Pacers vs. Hawks | Jan 28 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks | Jan 28 | $70 | −$4 | -6% |
| Pistons vs. Nuggets | Jan 28 | $100 | +$43 | +43% |
| Jets vs. Devils | Jan 28 | $70 | +$82 | +117% |
| Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5 | Jan 27 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 | Jan 27 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Bruins | Jan 27 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Canucks | Jan 27 | $170 | −$100 | -59% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jan 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026 | Jan 26 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 26 | $100 | +$49 | +49% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5 | Jan 26 | $80 | −$46 | -58% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Jan 25 | $49 | −$5 | -10% |
| Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes | Jan 25 | $100 | +$203 | +203% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | Jan 25 | $100 | +$27 | +27% |
| Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskies | Jan 25 | $50 | +$36 | +72% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | Jan 25 | $99 | −$51 | -51% |