trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 36% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $5 | −$1 | -15% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 27 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | May 23 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th | May 21 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland? | May 14 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | May 13 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 11 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | May 11 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? | May 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 10 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 10 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 09 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 09 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pacers vs. Warriors be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? | May 09 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1600 and $1700 on May 9? | May 08 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | May 08 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | May 07 | $13 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 30 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Trump meets with Carney in March? | Mar 24 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet? | Mar 24 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 48°F or below on March 25? | Mar 24 | $13 | $0 | +1% |