Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:31:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
62 0x622b…8b76 crypto 1680 markets active 1h ago coverage 42d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 42d only
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$577 (-6%) realized −$577 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate73%1234W / 446L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day55.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$4
14 days−$32
30 days−$362
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$542
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -7.6% -16.4% 65% 27% -10.0%
≤30d 778 -9.8% -18.4% 49% 43% -21.7%
≤90d 1680 -4.9% -14.0% 73% 21% -14.8%
all 1680 -4.9% -14.0% 73% 21% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 21% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 19% -22.9%
15% -29.7% 15% -30.4%
20% -36.6% 10% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$577
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1234 / 446
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1680 / 1680
History coverage42d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day55.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1680 Trades
no open positions (216 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $0 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records