Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:37:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6229…207f
crypto · 102 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$213 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$212 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$212
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses55 / 44
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)99 / 102
History coverage6d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day50.7
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 3 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$324
7 days+$212
14 days+$212
30 days+$212
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Up 45¢ 72¢ $7 $12 +$4 (+59%)
Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026? Yes 90¢ 61¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-32%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 Week of June 15 2026? No 99¢ 24¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$21 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$14 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$13 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$19 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$26 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$14 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$24 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$17 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$25 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$17 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$22 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$27 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$10 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$15 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$25 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$17 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$28 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$23 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$12 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +93%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $42 +$25 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? Jun 12 $14 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +81%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -83%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$8 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% +$248
other 11% −$22
sports 11% −$39
finance 3% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $13 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $19 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $15 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +0.2% -9.4% 56% 47% +3.8%
≤30d 99 +0.2% -9.4% 56% 47% +3.8%
≤90d 99 +0.2% -9.4% 56% 47% +3.8%
all 99 +0.2% -9.4% 56% 47% +3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 47% +3.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 46% -6.1%
15% -26.0% 43% -15.2%
20% -33.2% 42% -23.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.60 · official $16.59 (match) · 367 history records