Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6218…22d4
crypto · 196 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$15 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses108 / 88
Open positions0
Markets (closed)196 / 196
History coverage35d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 20 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 20 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 20 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 20 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 20 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 20 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 20 $4 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 19 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 19 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 19 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 19 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 19 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +10.4% -0.1% 63% 60% -2.2%
≤30d 106 -1.3% -10.7% 58% 55% -12.6%
≤90d 196 +3.6% -6.2% 55% 54% -9.5%
all 196 +3.6% -6.2% 55% 54% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.2% 54% -9.5%
10% -15.2% 49% -18.1%
15% -23.4% 42% -26.1%
20% -30.9% 35% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 385 history records