Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:02:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6218…04b5
crypto · 1918 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$2,525 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,693 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,693
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1264 / 629
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1893 / 1918
History coverage892d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1893 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$128
7 days−$85
14 days−$85
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$9 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$2,955
world 1% +$231
sports 0% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 +5.8% -4.2% 83% 83% -16.4%
≤30d 635 +3.0% -6.8% 75% 72% -10.9%
≤90d 1580 +0.8% -8.8% 63% 57% -14.0%
all 1893 +0.4% -9.1% 67% 52% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 52% -13.2%
10% -17.8% 33% -21.5%
15% -25.8% 24% -29.1%
20% -33.0% 14% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3480 history records