Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6209…e82f
crypto · 1282 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,033 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,059 · open +$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$6,059
Unrealized+$27
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses501 / 766
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1267 / 1282
History coverage36d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day79.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 1267 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,038
7 days−$1,038
14 days−$1,038
30 days−$5,474
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 31¢ 98¢ $5 $16 +$11 (+215%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 37¢ 98¢ $5 $13 +$8 (+166%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 40¢ 100¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+149%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Arsenal FC leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$3,609
other 13% −$1,112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 51m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 -25.8% -32.8% 24% 24% -56.8%
≤30d 1059 -18.0% -25.8% 40% 38% -32.5%
≤90d 1267 -18.3% -26.1% 40% 38% -31.3%
all 1267 -18.3% -26.1% 40% 38% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.1% 38% -31.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.2% 34% -37.9%
15% -39.6% 30% -43.9%
20% -45.6% 25% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.52 · official $37.42 · 3500 history records