Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61fe…2a8a
crypto · 1527 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,986 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,987 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$1,987
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1286 / 474
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1760 / 1527
History coverage13d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day172.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 1760 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,952
7 days−$2,554
14 days−$1,987
30 days−$1,987
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 82¢ 86¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 83¢ 92¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+78%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+55%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+58%)
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+91%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
BNB Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +256%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +243%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +106%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +275%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +322%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +83%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +178%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +195%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +167%
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +546%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +292%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +439%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -44%
BNB Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +505%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +394%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -444%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1545%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +840%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1204%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1758%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -3242%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$30 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$39 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$15 -200%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$1,270
other 4% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $11 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $12 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1135 -12.7% -21.0% 67% 64% -22.9%
≤30d 1760 -7.4% -16.2% 73% 70% -15.5%
≤90d 1760 -7.4% -16.2% 73% 70% -15.5%
all 1760 -7.4% -16.2% 73% 70% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover172.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 70% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 15% -23.6%
15% -31.5% 5% -31.0%
20% -38.3% 2% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.73 · official $10.46 · 3500 history records