Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61fc…0f09
other · 162 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses17 / 144
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)161 / 162
History coverage96d
Avg bet$136
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 161 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$11
14 days−$24
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 96¢ 96¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $111 $0 -0%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $59 −$1 -2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $174 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $54 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $92 $0 -0%
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $43 −$2 -5%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $56 −$1 -2%
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI Jun 11 $43 −$2 -4%
Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $56 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Jun 11 $42 $0 -1%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $169 −$1 -0%
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $96 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 10 $57 −$1 -2%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 09 $55 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $50 $0 -1%
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $54 $0 -0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 06 $105 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $111 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $584 −$1 -0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $100 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 05 $185 −$3 -2%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $47 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $56 $0 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 05 $43 $0 -1%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $355 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $320 −$1 -0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Jun 03 $47 $0 -0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $44 $0 -0%
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 02 $51 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 02 $42 −$1 -1%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $99 $0 -0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $55 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $316 −$1 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $245 $0 -0%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $237 −$3 -1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 30 $293 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $282 −$1 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $169 −$1 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 30 $353 −$2 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 29 $227 −$1 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 29 $49 $0 +1%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 29 $247 −$2 -1%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $49 −$1 -2%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $235 −$1 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 27 $155 −$2 -1%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 27 $112 −$3 -2%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 26 $47 $0 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 26 $257 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 31% −$36
sports 26% −$9
politics 25% −$24
crypto 6% −$8
finance 3% −$4
culture 2% −$4
economics 2% −$2
world 2% −$2
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $10 1h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $64 1h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $65 10h
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 92¢ $58 10h
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 93¢ $59 14h
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 96¢ $54 15h
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 96¢ $54 22h
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 93¢ $53 22h
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 93¢ $54 26h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $49 27h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $49 31h
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $41 32h
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $43 36h
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 92¢ $55 36h
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 93¢ $56 42h
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI SELL No 91¢ $41 43h
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI BUY No 94¢ $43 47h
Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 95¢ $56 47h
Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $56 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? SELL No 97¢ $42 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? BUY No 97¢ $42 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $51 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $51 2d
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $45 2d
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $45 2d
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $53 2d
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $53 3d
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 96¢ $61 3d
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 96¢ $61 3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? SELL No 94¢ $56 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -1.0% -10.4% 6% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 74 -0.8% -10.2% 7% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 153 -0.6% -10.0% 9% 0% -9.9%
all 161 -0.5% -10.0% 11% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.97 · official $9.97 (match) · 684 history records