Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61ea…f58d
crypto · 230 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$622 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$622 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$622
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses132 / 98
Open positions0
Markets (closed)230 / 230
History coverage2d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day1541.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$490
7 days−$622
14 days−$622
30 days−$622
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$11 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$11 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$12 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $96 −$14 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$14 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$30 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $85 −$36 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$15 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $186 −$36 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$11 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$10 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$21 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $126 +$4 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$622
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 230 +6.2% -3.9% 57% 48% -14.7%
≤30d 230 +6.2% -3.9% 57% 48% -14.7%
≤90d 230 +6.2% -3.9% 57% 48% -14.7%
all 230 +6.2% -3.9% 57% 48% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1541.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 48% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 32% -22.9%
15% -21.5% 21% -30.3%
20% -29.2% 12% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records