Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61e6…0e2e
crypto · 16 markets active 5d ago
0.5score
+$41,547 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$41,547 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$41,547
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses14 / 8
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 16
Avg bet$6,727
Trades / day674.4
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,334
7 days+$36,033
14 days+$41,547
30 days+$41,547
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $960 $0 −$960 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $960 −$960 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 07 $570 +$828 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 07 $1,436 +$2,313 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $3,721 +$6,842 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 07 $2,741 +$3,913 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 07 $8,806 −$24 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $3,500 +$4,500 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 07 $28,015 +$1,810 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $1,606 +$2,692 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $9,966 +$34 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $2,775 −$154 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $9,989 +$11 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 06 $1,359 +$3,109 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $3,154 +$11,494 +364%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 02 $10,875 +$18 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 02 $10,958 +$22 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 02 $8,153 +$5,474 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$42,881
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $86 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $99 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $33 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $157 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $191 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $128 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $23 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $254 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $52 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $432 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $547 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $189 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $17 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $475 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $356 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $970 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $148 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $120 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $156 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $230 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $529 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $103 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $417 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $115 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $218 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1,043 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $122 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $199 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+31.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +48.6% +34.4% 58% 42% +31.8%
≤30d 22 +45.0% +31.2% 64% 41% +25.0%
≤90d 22 +45.0% +31.2% 64% 41% +25.0%
all 22 +45.0% +31.2% 64% 41% +25.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover674.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +31.2% 41% +25.0%
10% +18.7% 41% +13.0%
15% ← realistic here +7.2% 41% +2.1%
20% -3.3% 41% -7.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records