Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61cd…810d
crypto · 1151 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$807 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$807 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$807
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses606 / 784
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1390 / 1151
History coverage99d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1390 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$698
7 days−$698
14 days−$701
30 days−$701
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -2751%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$6 -129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +396%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$113
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-28.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 -90.8% -91.6% 3% 3% -94.6%
≤30d 258 -88.7% -89.8% 5% 4% -93.7%
≤90d 1096 -21.5% -29.0% 44% 40% -17.1%
all 1390 -20.8% -28.3% 44% 39% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.3% 39% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -35.2% 32% -25.3%
15% -41.4% 26% -32.5%
20% -47.2% 20% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records