Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:42:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61c6…1cf8
other · 18 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$25 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$84
Realized−$22
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions15
Markets (closed)3 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit22%
Chart Positions 15 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 82¢ 82¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? No 81¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 45¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes 75¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 70¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 34¢ 33¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% −$3
tech 20% −$22
world 9% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.82 · official $83.82 (match) · 19 history records