Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61c6…2e9f
sports · 524 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,161 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,180 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$1,180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses170 / 353
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions1
Markets (closed)523 / 524
History coverage217d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 523 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$61
7 days+$67
14 days−$211
30 days−$228
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 58¢ 57¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Winthrop University 29¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. VCU Rams Loyola Chicago Ramblers 6¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Oh My God 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Team WE 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Heat 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Hornets Pelicans 44¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5 Over 13¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-15.5) Grizzlies 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Lakers Lakers 47¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5) FC Arouca 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 25¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Celtics vs. 76ers 76ers 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $8 +$10 +114%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $6 +$4 +73%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$9 +185%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $35 +$21 +59%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $18 −$10 -57%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $11 +$5 +42%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$14 +139%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$130 +437%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $43 −$42 -97%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $29 −$28 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$9 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $89 +$81 +91%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$5 -82%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $104 −$102 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $44 −$43 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $42 −$41 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $18 −$18 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $30 −$30 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $16 −$16 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $13 −$12 -98%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $20 −$17 -86%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $7 −$6 -98%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $7 −$7 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $21 −$21 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 03 $10 −$10 -97%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $17 −$6 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 02 $4 +$3 +76%
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Yidi Yang Jun 02 $5 −$1 -15%
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $9 +$5 +57%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuit Jun 02 $9 +$11 +126%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner Jun 01 $19 +$50 +262%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $12 −$12 -99%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $6 +$6 +98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$1,273
other 6% +$198
crypto 4% −$100
world 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 58¢ $6 17m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $18 19m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $4 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $14 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $6 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $55 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $35 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 16¢ $8 10h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Cloud9 14¢ $8 12h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 31¢ $18 12h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Misa Esports 9¢ $5 16h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 SELL Under 4¢ $5 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 40¢ $5 16h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 4¢ $5 16h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 72¢ $5 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $15 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $11 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 23¢ $9 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 28¢ $4 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $24 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 40¢ $4 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 41¢ $6 23h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $160 23h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $30 24h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 2¢ $15 25h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 6¢ $4 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $24 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -25.3% -32.4% 29% 29% +5.2%
≤30d 112 -21.9% -29.3% 34% 34% -23.7%
≤90d 293 -23.4% -30.7% 32% 32% -30.5%
all 523 -13.2% -21.5% 33% 32% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 32% -24.2%
10% -29.0% 31% -31.5%
15% -35.9% 30% -38.1%
20% -42.2% 27% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.15 · official $6.15 (match) · 784 history records