Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:09:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61b7…1bcf
sports · 71 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$19 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses46 / 22
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)68 / 71
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$6
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 76¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$1 -42%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ shots Jun 12 $1 $0 -27%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11 Jun 12 $3 +$3 +84%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $8 +$2 +27%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 +$3 +84%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 +$1 +46%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 +$1 +44%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $2 +$2 +111%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $3 +$1 +36%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $3 +$1 +30%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $4 +$1 +26%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 +$1 +48%
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $3 −$2 -63%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $3 +$3 +121%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $4 +$1 +34%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $2 +$1 +68%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $6 +$2 +36%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $3 +$1 +34%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $3 +$1 +38%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $9 +$3 +37%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 07 $2 +$1 +55%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $2 $0 +15%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 07 $3 +$2 +53%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +36%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +48%
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $3 +$1 +38%
Romania vs. Wales: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $1 +$1 +95%
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $8 +$4 +44%
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $5 +$2 +46%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 $0 +14%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $1 $0 -45%
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $6 +$3 +43%
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $3 +$1 +38%
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $5 −$3 -64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$13
other 10% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 37¢ $2 22m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 81¢ $5 23m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 82¢ $5 25m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegov BUY 61¢ $3 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 62¢ $3 1h
Alphonso Davies: 1+ shots SELL Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Alphonso Davies: 1+ shots BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $4 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $4 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 71¢ $3 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11 BUY 54¢ $3 24h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $8 24h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $3 24h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $3 40h
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 99¢ $6 44h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 68¢ $3 47h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $4 47h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 68¢ $3 47h
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 2d
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 2d
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 76¢ $3 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $3 2d
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $3 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 77¢ $4 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $2 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $3 2d
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $4 3d
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 46¢ $2 3d
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $4 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +4.3% -5.7% 65% 65% -6.4%
≤30d 68 +11.4% +0.8% 68% 63% -1.6%
≤90d 68 +11.4% +0.8% 68% 63% -1.6%
all 68 +11.4% +0.8% 68% 63% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.8% 63% -1.6%
10% -8.9% 60% -11.0%
15% -17.7% 50% -19.6%
20% -25.7% 22% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.83 · official $8.83 · 150 history records