trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 11% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 26 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $256 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 17 | $127 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 29 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 10 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju | May 08 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 18 | $129 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | Apr 15 | $129 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 30 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Mar 21 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 19 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Mar 18 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March? | Mar 16 | $260 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 14 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 12 | $261 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 10 | $261 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 08 | $261 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 07 | $261 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Feb 24 | $261 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 06 | $261 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 30 | $261 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 29 | $250 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 03 | $249 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $254 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $250 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 31 | $254 | $0 | +0% |