Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:09:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61af…6f1f
crypto · 216 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,408 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,408 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,408
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses166 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)216 / 216
History coverage5d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day93.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 216 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$723
7 days−$1,408
14 days−$1,408
30 days−$1,408
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $116 −$116 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $603 −$603 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $56 +$60 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $502 +$24 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $506 +$93 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$7 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $201 +$5 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $202 −$200 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$1,416
other 3% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 +2.3% -7.5% 77% 40% -28.0%
≤30d 216 +2.3% -7.5% 77% 40% -28.0%
≤90d 216 +2.3% -7.5% 77% 40% -28.0%
all 216 +2.3% -7.5% 77% 40% -28.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 40% -28.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 21% -34.9%
15% -24.4% 9% -41.1%
20% -31.8% 5% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 580 history records