Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x619f…84ad
other · 8 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$61 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$91
Realized−$58
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$58
14 days−$58
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-2%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-30%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$3 -96%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$34
crypto 36% −$2
sports 23% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $29 2h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 2h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $51 3h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 8¢ $5 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $21 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $26 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.76 · official $90.76 (match) · 9 history records