Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6182…3a3f
crypto · 292 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$22 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$61
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses130 / 160
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)290 / 292
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day59.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$61
14 days−$61
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 48¢ 22¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$59
other 2% −$11
sports 1% +$7
world 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 290 -12.3% -20.7% 45% 43% -17.9%
≤30d 290 -12.3% -20.7% 45% 43% -17.9%
≤90d 290 -12.3% -20.7% 45% 43% -17.9%
all 290 -12.3% -20.7% 45% 43% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 43% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 41% -25.7%
15% -35.2% 35% -32.9%
20% -41.6% 28% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.49 · official $1.36 · 492 history records