trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $236 | +$258 | +109% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 12 | $276 | −$40 | -14% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $318 | −$314 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $25 | +$16 | +63% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $25 | +$9 | +36% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $225 | +$98 | +44% |
| T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh | Jun 02 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans | May 31 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | May 29 | $125 | +$165 | +132% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | May 20 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | May 20 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 20 | $298 | +$178 | +60% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 18 | $126 | −$126 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | Dec 18 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on D | Dec 18 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on De | Dec 17 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Dec 16 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | Dec 16 | $16 | +$29 | +183% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Dec 16 | $26 | +$50 | +191% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Dec 16 | $27 | +$32 | +120% |
| Mavericks vs. Jazz | Dec 16 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15? | Dec 15 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys | Dec 15 | $25 | +$100 | +400% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Dec 15 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Dec 15 | $26 | +$24 | +90% |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | Dec 15 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Dec 14 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Hawks | Dec 14 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Kings | Dec 14 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Rangers | Dec 14 | $15 | +$14 | +94% |
| Knicks vs. Magic | Dec 14 | $25 | +$14 | +56% |
| Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-13? | Dec 13 | $20 | −$19 | -94% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) | Dec 13 | $20 | +$15 | +77% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | Dec 13 | $20 | +$22 | +110% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | Dec 13 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Dec 13 | $35 | +$62 | +178% |
| Kraken vs. Utah | Dec 13 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Hornets | Dec 13 | $29 | +$21 | +71% |
| Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-12? | Dec 12 | $13 | +$16 | +120% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +5.4% | -4.7% | 57% | 57% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 46% | 46% | +1.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 46% | 46% | +1.3% |
| all | 40 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 45% | 45% | -4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 45% | -4.9% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 45% | -14.0% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 45% | -22.3% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 40% | -29.9% |