Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:33:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
61 0x6171…e66a crypto 392 markets active 2h ago coverage 72d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$13 (-0%) realized −$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%385W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day5.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days−$21
14 days−$19
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$32
other 8% −$55
finance 3% +$4
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +0.3% -9.2% 98% 0% -10.9%
≤30d 218 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 392 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.8%
all 392 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.4%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$22 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

72d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses385 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)392 / 392
History coverage72d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 392 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET Jun 23 $49 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $16 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4AM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4AM ET Jun 22 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 21? Jun 21 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21? Jun 21 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 21 $9 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $29 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $29 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $49 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $48 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $16 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $49 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $16 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $4 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 35h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 21? BUY Down 95¢ $14 35h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 21? BUY Down 95¢ $10 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21? BUY Up 97¢ $50 35h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 35h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 35h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21? BUY No 99¢ $30 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.31 · official $0.00 (match) · 2059 history records