Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6149…b48c
sports · 21 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$29,668 +52%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29,668 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$29,668
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses7 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$1,114
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage9d
Avg bet$2,732
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35,061
7 days+$35,444
14 days+$29,668
30 days+$29,668
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 30¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 25¢ $5,805 $0 −$5,805 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $1,596 $0 −$1,596 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 55¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 20¢ $2,200 $0 −$2,200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 43¢ $1,996 $0 −$1,996 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 46¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $11,978 +$38,475 +321%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,650 −$1,645 -100%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2,049 +$5,795 +283%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5,006 −$4,150 -83%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5,933 −$5,805 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,256 −$1,704 -24%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,049 −$3,000 -98%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,025 −$908 -89%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $3,050 +$3,765 +123%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $2,948 −$391 -13%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $1,016 +$940 +93%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $1,024 +$3,689 +360%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $514 +$383 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 05 $2,075 −$1,996 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 05 $2,303 −$2,200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 05 $633 −$600 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 04 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 04 $3,409 +$1,402 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 04 $2,061 −$2,000 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 04 $256 −$247 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 04 $37 −$35 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$28,708
crypto 19% −$5,776
other 5% +$6,736
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 99¢ $50,453 45m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $11,978 6h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina $1 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina $0 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina $0 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina $3 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $581 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $0 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $1 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $1 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $19 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $336 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $19 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $1 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $1 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $336 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $19 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $1 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 11¢ $336 7h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? SELL Yes 73¢ $3,911 8h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? SELL Yes 74¢ $3,933 8h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? BUY Yes 19¢ $2,049 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 $856 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $2,927 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $36 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $41 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $10 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $1 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $61 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $205 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +50.8% +36.4% 46% 46% +64.9%
≤30d 21 +0.2% -9.3% 33% 33% +40.7%
≤90d 21 +0.2% -9.3% 33% 33% +40.7%
all 21 +0.2% -9.3% 33% 33% +40.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 33% +40.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 33% +27.2%
15% -25.9% 33% +14.9%
20% -33.2% 29% +3.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 133 history records