Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x613d…5942
other · 12 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$194
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)1 / 12
History coverage3d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit8%
Chart Positions 11 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $34 $33 −$1 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $20 $30 +$10 (+50%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+21%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $14 $21 +$7 (+50%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-14%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $32 $15 −$18 (-54%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-17%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-19%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $9 $6 −$2 (-26%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 +$14 +203%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% −$5
sports 2% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+174.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +203.1% +174.2% 100% 100% +174.2%
≤30d 1 +203.1% +174.2% 100% 100% +174.2%
≤90d 1 +203.1% +174.2% 100% 100% +174.2%
all 1 +203.1% +174.2% 100% 100% +174.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +174.2% 100% +174.2%
10% +148.0% 100% +148.0%
15% +124.0% 100% +124.0%
20% +102.1% 100% +102.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $193.66 · official $193.65 (match) · 21 history records