trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 20% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 33% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 33% | 0% | -10.9% |
| all | 20 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 40% | 0% | -13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 0% | -13.1% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 0% | -21.4% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 0% | -36.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $35 | $36 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $18 | −$1 | -8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 18 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 26 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $43 | −$2 | -6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 28 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | -28% |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres | Jun 05 | $28 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | May 09 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 | May 09 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referen | May 08 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election? | Mar 19 | $14 | −$14 | -96% |
| Davidson vs. Loyola Chicago | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |