Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6136…96cb
crypto · 1524 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,193 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,076 · open −$117
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized−$2,076
Unrealized−$117
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses971 / 697
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1668 / 1524
History coverage12d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day215.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 1668 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,646
7 days−$3,438
14 days−$2,076
30 days−$2,076
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 61¢ 62¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 46¢ 36¢ $36 $29 −$8 (-21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 59¢ 60¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 51¢ 56¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$582
sports 6% +$11
world 2% −$10
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $27 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $13 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $13 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $29 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $36 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $16 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $7 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $8 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $17 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1330 -18.3% -26.1% 55% 45% -22.5%
≤30d 1668 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 48% -15.4%
≤90d 1668 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 48% -15.4%
all 1668 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 48% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover215.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 48% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 35% -23.5%
15% -35.6% 34% -30.9%
20% -41.9% 29% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.82 · official $100.78 · 3500 history records