Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:53:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6134…98b0
sports · 1024 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$269 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$269 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$269
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses601 / 423
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1024 / 1024
History coverage246d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 1024 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$24
14 days−$7
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stars vs. Wild Wild 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Cordoba: Miguel Tobon vs Andrea Collarini Andrea Collarini 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens Canadiens 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-06? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ryan Seggerman Juan Carlos Prado 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce Hamad Medjedovic 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Rafael Jodar 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$4 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 04 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 04 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 04 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$9 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 04 $21 −$18 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -96%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Jun 04 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 04 $11 +$51 +478%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$5 +102%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% −$56
crypto 35% −$1
other 20% −$198
politics 0% −$8
world 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 9h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 38¢ $7 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -16.1% -24.1% 53% 41% -26.2%
≤30d 217 +5.4% -4.7% 66% 47% -12.1%
≤90d 520 -1.3% -10.7% 65% 46% -11.9%
all 1024 -2.5% -11.8% 59% 43% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 43% -12.4%
10% -20.2% 33% -20.8%
15% -27.9% 25% -28.4%
20% -35.0% 20% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2236 history records