Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:41:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6125…4f6f
crypto · 56 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses27 / 28
Open positions1
Markets (closed)55 / 56
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day207.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 48¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $53 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 +7.6% -2.7% 49% 22% -8.4%
≤30d 55 +7.6% -2.7% 49% 22% -8.4%
≤90d 55 +7.6% -2.7% 49% 22% -8.4%
all 55 +7.6% -2.7% 49% 22% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover207.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.7% 22% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 15% -17.2%
15% -20.5% 9% -25.2%
20% -28.3% 7% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.64 · official $5.16 (match) · 262 history records