Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6118…2fb8
crypto · 1241 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,357 -80%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,349 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$5,349
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses469 / 1171
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1640 / 1241
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day855.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1640 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,359
7 days−$5,349
14 days−$5,349
30 days−$5,349
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 98¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 54¢ 94¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 52¢ 6¢ $5 $1 −$5 (-89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 61¢ 2¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-96%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1640 -16.5% -24.4% 29% 27% -49.7%
≤30d 1640 -16.5% -24.4% 29% 27% -49.7%
≤90d 1640 -16.5% -24.4% 29% 27% -49.7%
all 1640 -16.5% -24.4% 29% 27% -49.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover855.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.4% 27% -49.7%
10% ← realistic here -31.7% 24% -54.6%
15% -38.3% 22% -58.9%
20% -44.3% 22% -63.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.88 · official $17.32 · 3500 history records