Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:39:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6104…cad1
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$14 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage122d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET Mar 18 $6 −$5 -97%
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh p Feb 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$6
politics 17% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET SELL Up 0¢ $0 86d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $6 86d
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh p SELL Yes 0¢ $0 119d
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh p BUY Yes 26¢ $7 121d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-56.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -4.3% -13.4% 0% 0% -11.7%
≤30d 2 -4.3% -13.4% 0% 0% -11.7%
≤90d 3 -36.2% -42.3% 0% 0% -15.0%
all 4 -52.1% -56.6% 0% 0% -31.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -56.6% 0% -31.2%
10% -60.8% 0% -37.8%
15% -64.6% 0% -43.8%
20% -68.0% 0% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records