Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T14:06:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
60 0x60fd…9b09 politics 30 markets active 2h ago coverage 85d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$10 (-0%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 30L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$362per market
Trades / day1.1pace
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
politics 31% −$6
world 26% −$4
other 23% −$2
crypto 18% −$5
economics 2% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 30 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 30 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$936) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

85d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage85d
Avg bet$362
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 30 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? Jun 25 $17 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me Jun 25 $74 $0 -0%
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Jun 25 $27 $0 -0%
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 25 $1,239 −$1 -0%
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 15 $101 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 14 $31 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 14 $25 $0 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? May 12 $42 $0 -0%
EU dissolves before 2027? May 12 $36 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 12 $51 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 12 $936 −$3 -0%
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 12 $909 $0 +0%
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 12 $862 −$1 -0%
Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial May 11 $961 −$2 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 11 $53 $0 -0%
Will Kim Eun-hye win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election May 11 $953 −$1 -0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? May 10 $945 −$2 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 May 10 $950 −$1 -0%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 10 $49 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? May 09 $961 −$3 -0%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? May 09 $937 −$2 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 10 $157 $0 -0%
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Apr 10 $70 $0 -0%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Apr 10 $20 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 05 $98 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 05 $73 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 05 $21 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 01 $174 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 01 $25 $0 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 01 $75 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? SELL No 100¢ $16 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $74 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $21 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $27 2h
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $27 2h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $26 2h
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? BUY No 100¢ $17 3h
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $984 3h
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $254 3h
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $27 3h
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,239 3h
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $101 41d
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $69 41d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $30 41d
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 41d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $13 41d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $13 41d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $18 41d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $12 41d
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $17 41d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $25 41d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? SELL No 99¢ $42 43d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? BUY No 99¢ $16 43d
EU dissolves before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $36 43d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? BUY No 99¢ $26 43d
EU dissolves before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $36 43d
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $51 44d
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $933 44d
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 44d
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $880 44d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 92 history records