Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60f1…dc7c
crypto · 137 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$1,011 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,010 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$251
Realized+$1,010
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses92 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions8
Markets (closed)129 / 137
History coverage95d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 8 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$971
7 days+$1,058
14 days+$1,072
30 days+$1,038
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $60 $57 −$3 (-5%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $30 $34 +$4 (+13%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 26¢ 30¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+14%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$42 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $221 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $253 −$60 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$31 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$15 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$16 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$71 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $162 +$22 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $153 +$63 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $212 +$25 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $194 +$25 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$14 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$13 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$40 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$26 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$35 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$18 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$21 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$19 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$36 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$29 -40%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$92
other 14% +$945
world 1% +$8
sports 1% −$30
politics 0% −$3
culture 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $193 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $102 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +3.2% -6.6% 74% 59% -3.3%
≤30d 126 +2.3% -7.4% 72% 58% -3.6%
≤90d 126 +2.3% -7.4% 72% 58% -3.6%
all 129 +1.6% -8.1% 71% 57% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 57% -3.8%
10% -16.9% 31% -13.0%
15% -24.9% 16% -21.4%
20% -32.3% 9% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $251.08 · official $251.11 (match) · 858 history records