Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T23:30:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x60f0…7dd5 crypto 32 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (170 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$11 (-0%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate44%14W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$150per market
Trades / day170.0pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$894
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (170 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +17.6% +6.4% 44% 38% -29.3%
≤30d 32 +17.6% +6.4% 44% 38% -29.3%
≤90d 32 +17.6% +6.4% 44% 38% -29.3%
all 32 +17.6% +6.4% 44% 38% -29.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover170.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.4% 38% -29.3%
10% ← realistic here -3.8% 31% -36.1%
15% -13.1% 25% -42.3%
20% -21.6% 19% -47.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -26% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt -26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +65% → late -30% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$68 vs −$103 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses14 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$150
Trades / day170.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 32 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $23 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 22 $74 −$74 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $0 $0 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $71 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 22 $256 −$256 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 22 $377 −$377 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $221 +$82 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 22 $133 −$125 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 22 $106 −$62 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 22 $111 +$185 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 22 $115 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 22 $454 −$435 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 22 $211 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 22 $234 +$113 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 22 $623 +$41 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 22 $550 −$95 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $336 +$205 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 22 $208 −$76 -36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 22 $103 +$27 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $221 +$113 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 22 $181 +$184 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 22 $112 −$110 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $12 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 5¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 180 history records