Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60ee…548e
other · 42 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$375 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$417 · open +$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,196
Realized−$417
Unrealized+$42
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses13 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Open positions9
Markets (closed)33 / 42
History coverage248d
Avg bet$491
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 9 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$26
14 days−$51
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $3,972 $3,974 +$2 (+0%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? No 92¢ 100¢ $317 $343 +$26 (+8%)
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 66¢ 69¢ $299 $316 +$18 (+6%)
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 90¢ 89¢ $180 $178 −$2 (-1%)
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 78¢ 76¢ $121 $118 −$3 (-3%)
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $103 $102 −$1 (-1%)
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No 76¢ 76¢ $83 $82 −$1 (-1%)
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes 26¢ 28¢ $55 $58 +$3 (+6%)
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 93¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-1%)
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 05 $322 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 05 $934 +$6 +1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 05 $510 −$33 -6%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $1,979 −$25 -1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? May 21 $112 −$15 -13%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? May 21 $209 −$26 -12%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? May 21 $116 −$1 -1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? May 21 $220 +$40 +18%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? May 20 $16 −$1 -6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? May 20 $8 −$1 -7%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? May 20 $1,368 +$58 +4%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? May 20 $1,517 −$102 -7%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? May 20 $112 +$4 +4%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? May 20 $272 −$8 -3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? May 20 $180 −$15 -8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? May 19 $4,002 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? May 07 $519 +$11 +2%
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o Apr 18 $23 $0 -0%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 07 $98 +$1 +1%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 07 $57 −$9 -17%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 27 $33 −$7 -20%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 27 $55 −$9 -17%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Mar 25 $120 −$86 -72%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Feb 27 $793 +$4 +0%
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? Jan 31 $226 −$226 -100%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? Jan 31 $46 +$4 +8%
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? Jan 31 $110 +$7 +6%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? Jan 31 $196 +$6 +3%
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? Jan 31 $579 +$21 +4%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Dec 13 $120 −$20 -16%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Dec 13 $69 +$31 +45%
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? Nov 09 $28 −$28 -100%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? Nov 09 $498 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 55% −$74
economics 26% +$39
other 13% −$318
crypto 3% +$20
tech 3% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $3,973 7h
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? BUY Yes 69¢ $102 7h
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 BUY No 76¢ $84 7h
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $25 7h
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? BUY Yes 26¢ $52 5d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 23¢ $0 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $136 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $54 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $4 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 23¢ $230 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? SELL Yes 8¢ $75 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $5 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 23¢ $0 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 23¢ $91 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? SELL Yes 8¢ $160 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 23¢ $176 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $27 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $9 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? BUY Yes 8¢ $80 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? BUY Yes 8¢ $7 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? BUY Yes 8¢ $87 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $119 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $80 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $32 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $64 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? SELL Yes 9¢ $99 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? SELL Yes 9¢ $18 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -1.9% -11.2% 33% 0% -10.9%
≤30d 16 -2.4% -11.7% 25% 6% -10.4%
≤90d 23 -7.0% -15.8% 26% 4% -11.1%
all 33 -9.4% -18.0% 39% 6% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.0% 6% -12.0%
10% -25.9% 3% -20.4%
15% -33.0% 3% -28.1%
20% -39.6% 0% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,196.17 · official $5,196.22 (match) · 327 history records