Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T08:25:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
60 0x60ec…de2e sports 8 markets active 4h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$36 (+9%) realized +$41 · open −$5
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +97% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +71% what you keep after slip
Net edge+71%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%1W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day8.0pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$345now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+78.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +97.0% +78.3% 100% 100% +78.3%
≤30d 1 +97.0% +78.3% 100% 100% +78.3%
≤90d 1 +97.0% +78.3% 100% 100% +78.3%
all 1 +97.0% +78.3% 100% 100% +78.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +78.3% 100% +78.3%
10% +61.2% 100% +61.2%
15% +45.6% 100% +45.6%
20% +31.4% 100% +31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +97% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +97% · $-wt +97% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$49 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$345
Realized+$41
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 7 History 1 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 54¢ $50 $57 +$7 (+15%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins LG Twins 44¢ 44¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Navarro vs. Ruse: Match O/U 21.5 Over 54¢ 54¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Osaka vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 21.5 Over 58¢ 56¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-3%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 46¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-5%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants Lotte Giants 43¢ 40¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-5%)
Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5) Quinn 43¢ 40¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 25 $51 +$49 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $51 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $51 3h
Navarro vs. Ruse: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 54¢ $51 3h
Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5) BUY Quinn 43¢ $51 3h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants BUY Lotte Giants 43¢ $51 4h
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 44¢ $51 4h
Osaka vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 58¢ $51 4h
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 50¢ $51 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $345.40 · official $345.40 (match) · 9 history records