Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:01:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60ec…f7b0
sports · 576 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$52,891 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$53,538 · open −$235
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$5,830
Realized+$53,538
Unrealized−$235
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses637 / 217
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$3,631
Open positions8
Markets (closed)854 / 576
History coverage6d
Avg bet$769
Trades / day396.6
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 8 History 854 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43,315
7 days+$53,538
14 days+$53,538
30 days+$53,538
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 91¢ 96¢ $2,299 $2,428 +$128 (+6%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 67¢ 64¢ $862 $834 −$27 (-3%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 86¢ 100¢ $565 $653 +$88 (+16%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Minnesota Lynx 51¢ 23¢ $1,304 $586 −$718 (-55%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 56¢ 100¢ $280 $497 +$217 (+78%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 82¢ 100¢ $308 $375 +$67 (+22%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 46¢ 48¢ $262 $271 +$9 (+3%)
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+253%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Oliver Crawford Alex Molcan 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Heilbronn: Joel Schwaerzler vs Matej Dodig Matej Dodig 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+97%)
ITF Wuning: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo Yufei Ren 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Ognjen Milic Hamish Stewart 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+32%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Petra Marcinko 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Birmingham: Billy Harris vs Yunchaokete Bu Yunchaokete Bu 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska Jasmine Paolini 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+131%)
ITF Nice: Berfu Cengiz vs Hena Cehajic Berfu Cengiz 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Houston Astros 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Lisa Zaar vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 14 $1 +$4 +632%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 14 $0 +$295 +162731%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Oliver Crawford Jun 14 $1 +$6 +978%
Heilbronn: Joel Schwaerzler vs Matej Dodig Jun 14 $0 +$143 +44121%
ITF Wuning: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo Jun 14 $1 +$65 +12660%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 14 $0 +$229 +73851%
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Ognjen Milic Jun 14 $0 +$53 +11105%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 14 $1 −$69 -11438%
Birmingham: Billy Harris vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 14 $1 +$10 +1621%
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 14 $1 +$75 +14938%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 14 $0 +$129 +27209%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Jun 14 $1 −$4 -744%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Lisa Zaar vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 14 $1 +$1 +172%
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifi Jun 14 $0 +$144 +53272%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 14 $1 +$16 +3038%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Diae El Jardi vs Tatjana Maria Jun 14 $1 +$21 +3664%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 14 $0 +$8 +2033%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 14 $1 −$545 -93545%
ITF Luan: Hanyi Liu vs Yaojie Zeng Jun 14 $1 −$153 -25708%
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayo Jun 14 $0 −$7 -1459%
ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs Yufei Ren Jun 14 $0 +$191 +44736%
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 14 $1 −$47 -8770%
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea Jun 14 $0 +$5 +1285%
Birmingham: Gabriela Knutson vs Joanna Garland Jun 14 $0 +$48 +11919%
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson Jones Jun 14 $0 +$63 +12545%
ITF Casablanca: Carolina Dibenedetto vs Marta Soriano Santiago Jun 14 $1 +$10 +1848%
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery Jun 14 $1 −$134 -23474%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneeva Jun 14 $0 +$111 +28511%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $0 +$49 +10802%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 14 $0 +$108 +23264%
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 14 $1 +$9 +1523%
ITF Deauville: Marc Antoine Gaillard vs Corentin Denolly Jun 14 $1 +$6 +1140%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 14 $0 +$325 +86932%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 14 $0 +$61 +12445%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Zakharova vs Karolina Muchova Jun 14 $1 −$124 -21751%
Vicenza: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Gonzalo Bueno Jun 14 $1 −$95 -16418%
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Thiago Monteiro Jun 14 $0 +$578 +262476%
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Giron Jun 14 $0 +$62 +21578%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 14 $1 −$38 -6622%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 14 $0 +$116 +24625%
Centurion: Luc Koenig vs Dominik Palan Jun 14 $0 +$210 +61697%
ITF Toyama: Sun Min Ha vs Chia Yi Tsao Jun 14 $1 +$1 +112%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers Jun 14 $0 +$86 +17174%
Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken Jun 14 $0 $0 +28%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva Jun 14 $1 −$20 -3796%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Marina Bass Jun 14 $1 −$73 -14041%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Sta Jun 14 $0 +$10 +2044%
Heilbronn: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo Jun 14 $0 +$205 +68074%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 14 $0 +$130 +47197%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 14 $0 +$146 +41719%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$32,038
other 1% +$161
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 49¢ $923 3m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 53¢ $1,012 4m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 53¢ $110 5m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 26¢ $82 7m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 90¢ $1,213 16m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers $47 20m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 91¢ $5 22m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 87¢ $42 24m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 91¢ $2,576 26m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $54 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 71¢ $406 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 69¢ $10 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 93¢ $254 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 62¢ $400 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun SELL Indiana Fever 100¢ $1,353 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 88¢ $42 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 80¢ $1,057 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 44¢ $0 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $47 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $19 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $91 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 92¢ $345 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 78¢ $62 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $566 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $111 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 19¢ $1 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 100¢ $2,414 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 80¢ $227 3h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 30¢ $3 3h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 100¢ $455 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+757.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 854 +847.7% +757.4% 75% 63% -4.9%
≤30d 854 +847.7% +757.4% 75% 63% -4.9%
≤90d 854 +847.7% +757.4% 75% 63% -4.9%
all 854 +847.7% +757.4% 75% 63% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover396.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +757.4% 63% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here +675.4% 56% -14.0%
15% +600.5% 52% -22.3%
20% +531.8% 50% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,829.90 · official $5,644.02 · 3500 history records