Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T00:17:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
60 0x60e7…916b crypto 56 markets active 2h ago coverage 526d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate76%42W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$104per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$66now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 81% −$5
crypto 13% +$1
tech 3% +$1
other 2% $0
politics 1% $0
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 6 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 55 +0.2% -9.4% 76% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 44% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

526d coverage
Net worth$66
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses42 / 13
Open positions1
Markets (closed)55 / 56
History coverage526d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 55 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? Jun 03 $62 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April? May 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will BNB reach $800 in April? May 05 $15 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April? May 05 $44 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in March? Apr 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March? Apr 02 $40 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? Mar 03 $10 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February? Mar 03 $18 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February? Mar 03 $41 $0 +0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 02 $7 $0 +0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January? Feb 02 $47 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $220 in December? Jan 02 $25 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? Jan 02 $40 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.80 in November? Dec 03 $16 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.40 in November? Dec 03 $45 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? Nov 04 $19 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? Nov 04 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $300 in September? Oct 02 $16 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Septe Oct 02 $44 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August? Sep 02 $32 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? Aug 03 $19 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July? Aug 03 $45 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $80 in June? Jul 04 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? Jun 16 $7 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in May? Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? Jun 16 $17 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.09 in April? May 03 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April? May 03 $2 $0 +0%
Will Trump remove tariff on China before May? May 03 $3 $0 +1%
U.S. recession before May 2025? May 03 $4 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in April? May 03 $8 $0 +0%
Will Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May? May 03 $11 $0 +0%
Will TikTok be banned again before May? May 03 $24 $0 +0%
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalitio Apr 20 $28 $0 -0%
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days? Apr 15 $36 $0 -0%
Will Connor McDavid win the Hart Trophy? Apr 15 $24 $0 -0%
Will another party win the most seats in the next Australian parliamen Apr 11 $17 $0 -0%
Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? Apr 09 $14 $0 -0%
Solana all time high by March 31? Apr 03 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31? Apr 03 $9 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? Apr 03 $9 $0 +0%
Will Solana hit $190 in March? Apr 03 $9 $0 +0%
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga? Mar 16 $4,592 −$5 -0%
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28? Mar 04 $8 $0 +0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februa Mar 04 $30 +$1 +3%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 20 Mar 04 $17 $0 -1%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Rebounds? Feb 22 $15 $0 -0%
Will Julius Randle lead the NBA in scoring? Feb 22 $23 $0 -0%
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31? Feb 21 $8 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? BUY No 100¢ $66 1h
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $62 31d
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April? BUY No 100¢ $10 62d
Will BNB reach $800 in April? BUY No 100¢ $15 63d
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April? BUY No 100¢ $44 63d
Will Solana dip to $40 in March? BUY No 100¢ $14 92d
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March? BUY No 100¢ $40 92d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? BUY No 100¢ $10 120d
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February? BUY No 100¢ $18 121d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February? BUY No 100¢ $41 121d
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? BUY No 100¢ $7 148d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $14 149d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January? BUY No 100¢ $47 150d
Will Solana reach $220 in December? BUY No 100¢ $25 181d
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? BUY No 100¢ $40 182d
Will XRP reach $3.80 in November? BUY No 100¢ $16 210d
Will XRP reach $3.40 in November? BUY No 100¢ $45 211d
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $19 241d
Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? BUY No 100¢ $30 243d
Will Solana reach $300 in September? BUY No 100¢ $16 272d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Septe BUY Yes 100¢ $44 272d
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August? BUY No 100¢ $32 301d
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? BUY No 100¢ $19 333d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July? BUY No 100¢ $45 334d
Will Solana dip to $80 in June? BUY No 100¢ $30 366d
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in May? BUY No 100¢ $10 392d
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? BUY No 100¢ $17 394d
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? BUY No 100¢ $7 396d
Will Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May? BUY No 100¢ $11 423d
Will TikTok be banned again before May? BUY No 100¢ $15 424d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.55 · official $65.55 (match) · 117 history records