Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:17:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60e7…3f3f
crypto · 802 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$2,386 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,394 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$395
Realized+$2,394
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses618 / 182
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$103
Open positions2
Markets (closed)800 / 802
History coverage108d
Avg bet$113
Trades / day16.5
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 800 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,023
7 days+$2,094
14 days+$2,017
30 days+$2,052
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $273 $266 −$7 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $130 $129 −$1 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $56 −$55 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $162 +$56 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$51 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $47 +$11 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $116 +$39 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $109 −$47 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $59 +$20 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$19 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$9 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $477 +$180 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$43 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$64 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$16 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $62 +$27 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$14 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $79 −$77 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $122 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$14 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $58 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$15 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% +$2,045
sports 25% +$194
other 3% +$147
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $24 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $52 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $39 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $56 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $162 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $52 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $27 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $20 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 8h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $31 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $52 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $56 9h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $178 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 +2.8% -7.0% 78% 57% -5.6%
≤30d 522 +0.6% -9.0% 75% 52% -6.6%
≤90d 746 -1.9% -11.2% 76% 44% -7.1%
all 800 -1.2% -10.6% 77% 43% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 43% -7.1%
10% -19.2% 21% -16.0%
15% -27.0% 9% -24.1%
20% -34.1% 4% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $394.95 · official $394.95 (match) · 2340 history records