Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:47:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x60e5…4d74 crypto 99 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate93%92W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day35.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -2.1% -11.5% 93% 5% -9.8%
≤30d 99 -2.1% -11.5% 93% 5% -9.8%
≤90d 99 -2.1% -11.5% 93% 5% -9.8%
all 99 -2.1% -11.5% 93% 5% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover35.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 5% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 3% -18.4%
15% -27.7% 1% -26.3%
20% -34.8% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$17 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses92 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)99 / 99
History coverage3d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day35.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 99 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $35 −$35 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $36 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $40 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $35 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $35 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $35 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $35 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $35 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $35 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $35 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $35 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $35 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $35 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $35 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $35 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $35 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $35 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $35 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $35 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $35 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $35 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $35 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $35 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $35 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $35 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $35 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $36 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $35 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $35 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 202 history records