Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60e3…5284
crypto · 261 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$115 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$114
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses130 / 129
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)259 / 261
History coverage11d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day24.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 259 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54
7 days−$63
14 days−$114
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 65¢ 90¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$14 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$20 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$31 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$17 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$114
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 -2.8% -12.0% 52% 51% -15.2%
≤30d 259 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 50% -16.0%
≤90d 259 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 50% -16.0%
all 259 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 50% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 50% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 49% -24.1%
15% -30.1% 49% -31.4%
20% -37.0% 49% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.20 · official $3.97 (match) · 409 history records