Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:46:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60de…97a6
politics · 42 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses9 / 32
Open positions1
Markets (closed)41 / 42
History coverage319d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? No 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Aug 12 $3 $0 -1%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Aug 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? Aug 10 $31 $0 +0%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Aug 10 $27 $0 -0%
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? Aug 10 $6 $0 +1%
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? Aug 09 $52 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 08 $58 −$2 -4%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 07 $10 $0 +0%
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Aug 07 $10 $0 -0%
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? Aug 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? Aug 05 $1 $0 +0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 05 $9 $0 +0%
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? Aug 05 $9 $0 +0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 05 $9 $0 +0%
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? Aug 02 $2 $0 +0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025? Aug 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 01 $5 $0 +1%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Aug 01 $5 $0 -0%
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election Aug 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 01 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Aug 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 01 $5 $0 +0%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? Jul 31 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jul 31 $65 $0 +0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? Jul 31 $5 $0 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jul 31 $6 $0 -0%
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? Jul 30 $6 $0 -0%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jul 30 $5 −$1 -14%
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election? Jul 29 $58 $0 +0%
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jul 29 $1 $0 +0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jul 29 $54 $0 +0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jul 29 $17 $0 +0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jul 29 $17 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jul 29 $13 $0 +0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jul 29 $58 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? Jul 28 $7 $0 +0%
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 28 $65 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 30% $0
sports 20% $0
other 18% −$1
culture 10% −$2
world 9% $0
economics 7% $0
tech 5% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 22¢ $18 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 22¢ $18 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $19 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $3 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $17 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $31 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $31 3d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 304d
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina SELL No 99¢ $10 304d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $5 306d
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? SELL No 97¢ $5 306d
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? SELL No 97¢ $1 306d
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? SELL No 97¢ $18 306d
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL No 95¢ $27 306d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 306d
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? BUY No 95¢ $27 307d
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? SELL No 97¢ $27 307d
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? BUY No 97¢ $24 308d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 308d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 308d
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? SELL No 97¢ $24 308d
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? BUY No 97¢ $52 308d
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? SELL No 90¢ $27 308d
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? SELL No 90¢ $29 308d
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina BUY No 99¢ $10 309d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $10 309d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $10 309d
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? SELL Yes 97¢ $10 309d
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 310d
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? SELL No 98¢ $10 311d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
all 41 -0.5% -9.9% 22% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.65 · official $0.65 (match) · 122 history records