Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60dd…40e5
sports · 140 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$38,658 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34,003 · open −$19,158
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$142
Realized+$34,003
Unrealized−$19,158
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses76 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$4,738
Open positions3
Markets (closed)137 / 140
History coverage18d
Avg bet$2,913
Trades / day50.5
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24,267
7 days+$19,506
14 days+$27,125
30 days+$34,003
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 57¢ $15,700 $138 −$15,562 (-99%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 25¢ $1,300 $3 −$1,297 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 59¢ $2,300 $2 −$2,298 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $12,169 +$3,346 +28%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $7,938 −$3,075 -39%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $4,106 +$3,534 +86%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2,426 −$79 -3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,902 +$15,083 +308%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $4,247 +$1,586 +37%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,018 −$327 -16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,523 +$1,026 +29%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $2,534 +$1,009 +40%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,829 −$1,093 -60%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $698 +$1,361 +195%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,460 +$1,897 +35%
Will Nisha be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII? Jun 11 $2,000 −$7 -0%
Dota 2: Ignite vs Ttgame - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $212 +$98 +46%
Will skiter be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII? Jun 10 $960 +$10 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $7,800 −$3,596 -46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $103 −$103 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $2,678 −$308 -12%
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $574 +$1 +0%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2,015 +$671 +33%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $5,002 +$53 +1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $9,810 −$9,810 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,424 +$346 +14%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3,034 +$1,680 +55%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4,675 −$4,514 -97%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $7,217 +$6,757 +94%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3,329 +$471 +14%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,004 +$157 +16%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3,472 +$1,656 +48%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $307 −$307 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,025 +$1,983 +98%
Will ATF be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $600 +$2 +0%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $8,807 −$3,304 -38%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,501 +$713 +48%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $9,734 −$6,331 -65%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,013 −$1,013 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $5,060 +$1,390 +28%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $2,255 −$155 -7%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,017 +$1,356 +133%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,433 −$1,433 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3,346 +$3,027 +90%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,524 +$293 +19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $4,943 +$1,996 +40%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $2,785 +$1,157 +42%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $203 −$80 -39%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $6,893 +$4,035 +58%
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 05 $100 $0 +0%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $6,026 +$970 +16%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,009 −$1,009 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $6,337 +$2,622 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$14,827
other 1% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $354 21m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $1,006 28m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $1,011 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $1,011 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 41¢ $204 33m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 40¢ $1,018 35m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 40¢ $1,018 35m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 40¢ $509 36m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $505 39m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $1,010 42m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $1,010 43m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $1,011 43m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $1,011 43m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 50¢ $1,015 46m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $1,014 51m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 15¢ $103 52m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $103 52m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $103 53m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $1,011 57m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $1,012 57m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $505 57m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $1,011 59m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $101 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 72¢ $155 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 39¢ $1,018 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $22,485 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $102 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $508 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 59¢ $1,012 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 69¢ $1,009 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +19.5% +8.1% 65% 55% +6.4%
≤30d 137 -0.6% -10.1% 55% 45% -1.4%
≤90d 137 -0.6% -10.1% 55% 45% -1.4%
all 137 -0.6% -10.1% 55% 45% -1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 45% -1.4%
10% -18.7% 36% -10.8%
15% ← realistic here -26.5% 30% -19.4%
20% -33.7% 18% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $142.28 · official $142.28 (match) · 1032 history records