trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 33% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 25% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 36% | 0% | -12.3% |
| all | 14 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 36% | 0% | -12.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.0% | 0% | -12.3% |
| 10% | -29.5% | 0% | -20.7% |
| 15% | -36.3% | 0% | -28.3% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 0% | -35.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $365 | $367 | +$2 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Jun 26 | $372 | −$12 | -3% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | Jun 25 | $380 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? | Jun 25 | $376 | +$1 | +0% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Jun 17 | $281 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5) | May 21 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31? | May 21 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Zamalek SC vs. Ceramica Cleopatra Club: O/U 4.5 | May 20 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | May 20 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31? | May 19 | $47 | +$1 | +2% |
| Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) | May 07 | $478 | +$15 | +3% |
| Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? | May 06 | $481 | $0 | -0% |
| Spread: FC Nantes (-2.5) | Apr 23 | $404 | +$2 | +0% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | Apr 22 | $405 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Girona FC (-2.5) | Apr 08 | $192 | +$8 | +4% |