Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60d5…c9ac
crypto · 1593 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$81 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$81 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1554 / 39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1593 / 1593
History coverage12d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day142.1
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1593 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$81
14 days+$81
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 98¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 74¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 96¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$9 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$81
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1592 +1.5% -8.1% 98% 2% -9.0%
≤30d 1593 +1.5% -8.1% 98% 2% -9.0%
≤90d 1593 +1.5% -8.1% 98% 2% -9.0%
all 1593 +1.5% -8.1% 98% 2% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 2% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 1% -17.7%
15% -24.9% 0% -25.7%
20% -32.3% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3355 history records